Replacement of components of NTEM (the National Trip End Model)

Concepts

• research and development
• modelling software
• end model
• a synthetic population forecasting model
• the national trip end model
• ‘licence cohort model
• national
• replace
• replacement
• trip

Location

London

Description

The National Trip End Model is a trip generation model of Great Britain (England, Scotland and Wales). The currently published NTEM version 8 results cover the period 2021 to 2061. These forecasts inform most of the Department for Transport’s investment decisions. The NTEM Synthetic Population project aims to replace Scenario Generator and NATCOP (including the licence cohort model) with a Synthetic Population Forecasting Model. We wish to replace the components ‘Scenario Generator’, ‘NATCOP’ and ‘Licence Cohort Model’ with new forecasting software that generates a ‘synthetic population’ that can be published as well as continuing to provide the inputs to the existing CTripEnd modelling software. This contract has been awarded to Ove Arup & Partners Ltd pursuant to a mini-competition held on the CCS Research & Insights dynamic purchasing agreement (RM6126). The contract has a maximum value of £200,000 excluding VAT, and a duration of 2 years, from 29th April 2024 to 24th April 2026.

Award Detail

Award Criteria

CPV Codes

• 73000000 - Research and development services and related consultancy services

Indicators

Legal Justification

This contract is awarded after a mini competition held on an existing dynamic purchasing agreement (the CCS' Research & Insights marketplace). When a contract is intended to be awarded to suppliers from an existing framework or dynamic purchasing agreement, there is no legal obligation to publish a prior call for competition in the OJEU. This publication of the fact of contract award ensures transparency about the award of government contracts.